[ad_1]
There should be one thing within the DNA of all earthly animals—from penguins to folks—that requires that we search for connections. Possibly it’s a survival mechanism.
Huge conspiracies surrounded the assassination of John F. Kennedy, together with similarities with that of Abraham Lincoln. Each males had been elected to the presidency in ’60s (Lincoln 1860, Kennedy 1960). Andrew Johnson, who succeeded Lincoln, was born in 1808. Lyndon Johnson, who succeeded Kennedy, was born in 1908.
However it’s intellectually attention-grabbing to search for parallels even when they’re completely coincidental. There are some comparable patterns with the 2016 US presidential election and the simply concluded election within the Philippines.
Perceive clearly and with none ambiguity or hesitation. The one similarity I see between the US and Filipino candidates is that the 2 contenders in each elections occurred coincidentally to be a feminine (Robredo and Clinton) and a male (Marcos and Trump). Should you imagine in any other case or see one thing else, that’s your notion, not mine.
Nonetheless, there are some comparisons that may be made between US-2016 and Philippines-2022 concerning the campaigns.
Some issues stand out. The political polarization frequent in each elections was unprecedented, not less than in depth. This isn’t distinctive to both the US or the Philippines. Elections across the globe are “do-or-die” with no try at looking for a center floor or consensus. And it’s fully the politicians’/candidates’ fault, not the folks’s. They need us all wild-eyed and loopy for some cause.
Each elections’ marketing campaign rhetoric was extreme. “Hillary Clinton stated half of Donald Trump’s supporters belong in a “basket of deplorables” characterised by “racist, sexist, homophobic, xenophobic, Islamophobic” views.” Deplorable: shockingly unhealthy, deserving contempt, despicable, reprehensible, and wretched.
Some native pundits applauded the usage of the phrases “wildflour elitists,” “bobotante,” and “bayaran” from supporters to explain the supporters of the opposite aspect. Not a great way to encourage consensus constructing, which is the one approach a authorities might be efficient.
Nonetheless, the election is accomplished. Now comes the “What occurs subsequent to the financial system and the inventory market?”
Monetary corporations like funding homes put out commentary labeled as “Analysis.” However these firms all have an agenda and need to earn cash buying and selling the markets. “Suppose-tanks” are solely barely much less agenda pushed as they’re paid by firms, which additionally commerce the markets and respect any assist from the “tanks” to get markets to maneuver in a specific path.
There’s something completely different from these two and, maybe unusually, is present in advertising. The Economist Intelligence Unit based in 1946 and a part of The Economist Group newspaper (1843) supplies “Market intelligence”—like how many individuals in India are going to purchase a brand new automobile in 2022—and an evaluation of the way to capitalize on that info.
That is their newest Viewpoint on the election: “Marcos is ideologically aligned with the incumbent president, and this means an agenda of continuity reasonably than change.”
“Marcos is not going to deviate considerably from his predecessor’s core stance in favor of market liberalization and hardline safety coverage for international coverage. The continued rebalance in the direction of the US will proceed.” Should you “favored” Duterte, you could most likely additionally like Marcos.
“In concrete phrases, which means that Mr. Marcos will proceed to embrace the three key pillars of infrastructure improve, tax incentives for companies, and the removing of funding boundaries.”
“The largest threat to Marcos’s presidency would be the execution of his coverage agenda as Mr. Marcos can boast solely of a comparatively unproductive stint as a senator and stays carefully related to the file of his namesake father. Failure to adequately ship progress on main business-friendly reform and infrastructure improve, which would require consummate political and communication expertise, might jeopardize the nation’s hitherto spectacular latest progress trajectory.”
Marcos will not be Duterte and might have a lot political capital and in style assist to get issues completed. Nonetheless, from the outcomes from the LGUs, Marcos could have a stronger political base than any president since his father. Attention-grabbing occasions.
E-mail me at mangun@gmail.com. Observe me on Twitter @mangunonmarkets. PSE stock-market info and technical evaluation supplied by AAA Southeast Equities Inc.
[ad_2]
Source link